The total number of special vehicles in China is expected to fall slightly in 2011, and the demand for dump trucks is flat


As the country's investment in fixed assets weakens, the domestic commercial vehicle industry, especially the heavy-duty truck industry, is not optimistic about the production and sales in 2011, and cautiously estimates that it will decline. However, in the area of ​​special vehicles closely related to the heavy-duty truck industry, the market performance in 2011 closely followed the pace of the heavy-duty truck industry, and the total number of special-purpose vehicles fell slightly.

From the national level analysis, the current domestic inflationary pressure is very large, and the country will have stricter control over the scale of bank credit funds in 2011. Divided by types, in 2011, the demand for some market segments will increase, mainly in inland areas. The proportion of special vehicles in coastal areas may be affected by foreign brands, but the decline in inland regions is not obvious. In 2011, competition will surely become more intense, regardless of whether the market is good or bad. In the past two years, raw materials have been on a rising trend, but the price of cars has not risen and competition has been fierce. Based on the above factors, special vehicle companies believe that there will be a slight decline in 2011. Because the state's investment in infrastructure has been relatively weakened, it will not be a substantial decline in a short period of time, but will be a slow transition, which will lead to a slight decline in the total volume of special vehicles.

However, in 2011, the domestic special vehicle sector is also a good factor, based on domestic demand analysis, and first, high-speed rail must be built. Domestic first-tier cities face traffic jams. The solution to this problem is to increase the overall volume of goods transported. The second is the process of urbanization. The plan of the country to classify rural areas as small cities is to effectively use rural land resources and thus promote rural infrastructure projects. The third is energy development. At present, there are various forms of water power generation and coal power generation in China, of which coal-based power generation is the mainstay, which will also drive the demand for special vehicles. Fourth, the development of the western region. In the last five-year plan, the development of the western region was only stuck on paper, and the country’s actions were very small. Today, the state pays more attention to the development of the western region than in previous years. The demand for commercial vehicles driven by the Western Development will also continue for 5-10 years. In the process of promoting urbanization in rural areas in 2011, demand for special vehicles will increase.

As the country has gradually promoted urbanization in Guangxi, Yunnan, Xinjiang, and Tibet, investment in the Midwest will surely increase its intensity in 2011. With the acceleration of the urbanization process in the country, the demand for special vehicles will be further subdivided. For example, municipal vehicles and concrete mixers will have an increasing trend.

However, after all, the share of municipal vehicles is small, and when many private car companies compete for this piece of cake together, they will face the problem of the share size. At present, the market share of the domestic special car industry is mainly divided by 11 host plants. For special car manufacturers, 2011 will face the problem of how cakes are divided. The special car industry will not be seeking for improvement in quantity in the future. It will be a matter of quality.

Dump trucks were still flat in 2011. In addition, concrete mixers will certainly rise. The demand for municipal vehicles will increase year by year with the acceleration of urbanization. In 2011, the dump truck will still maintain its overall level in 2010. In the market segment, the total number of municipal vehicles will certainly rise. In addition, special vehicles such as carriages will also show a growing trend. In 2010, the number of passenger vehicles exceeded 18 million. The growth in this part of the market means that there is certainly room for growth in the demand for special vehicles for passenger vehicles. Therefore, the increment of market segments such as the carriages will also be more obvious.

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